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Title: The Determinants of International Football Success: A Panel Data Analysis of the Elo Rating
Author: Gásquez, Robert
Royuela Mora, Vicente
Keywords: Futbol
Indicadors econòmics
Indicadors socials
Producte interior brut
Economic indicators
Social indicators
Gross domestic product
Issue Date: Jun-2016
Publisher: Wiley
Abstract: This paper investigates the determinants of football success at international level. We introduce three innovations as a) we apply the model developed by Bernard and Busse (2004) to football. b) We consider a wide panel of countries over a 33 years period and c) we supplement FIFA's classification with the Elo rating system. Our results, which are robust to several sensitivity analyses, show that economics, demographics, weather, geography and football institutions are good indicators of football success at international level. Besides, the Elo rating is a better alternative indicator that the FIFA ranking, and it may be used in the academic works that wish analyse a long period of time.
Note: Versió postprint del document publicat a:
It is part of: Social Science Quarterly, 2016, vol. 97, num. 2, p. 125-141
Related resource:
ISSN: 0038-4941
Appears in Collections:Articles publicats en revistes (Econometria, Estadística i Economia Aplicada)

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