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Title: Assessing trends in insured losses from floods in Spain 1971-2008
Author: Barredo, J. I.
Saurí Pujol, David
Llasat Botija, María del Carmen
Keywords: Canvis climàtics
Anàlisi d'impacte econòmic
Climatic changes
Economic impact analysis
Issue Date: 2012
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
Abstract: Economic impacts from floods have been increasing over recent decades, a fact often attributed to a changing climate. On the other hand, there is now a significant body of scientific scholarship all pointing towards increasing concentrations and values of assets as the principle cause of the increasing cost of natural disasters. This holds true for a variety of perils and across different jurisdictions. With this in mind, this paper examines the time history of insured losses from floods in Spain between 1971 and 2008. It as- sesses whether any discernible residual signal remains after adjusting the data for the increase in the number and value of insured assets over this period of time. Data on insured losses from floods were sourced from Consorcio de Com- pensacíon de Seguros (CCS). Although a public institution, CCS compensates homeowners for the damage produced by floods, and thus plays a role similar to that of a private insurance company. Insured losses were adjusted using two proxy measures: first, changes in the total amount of annual surcharges (premiums) paid by customers to CCS, and secondly, changes in the total value of dwellings per year. The adjusted data reveals no significant trend over the period 1971-2008 and serves again to confirm that at this juncture, societal in- fluences remain the prime factors driving insured and economic losses from natural disasters.
Note: Reproducció del document publicat a:
It is part of: Natural Hazards And Earth System Sciences, 2012, vol. 12, p. 1723-1729
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ISSN: 1561-8633
Appears in Collections:Articles publicats en revistes (Física Quàntica i Astrofísica)

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