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http://hdl.handle.net/2445/101764
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DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Clavería González, Óscar | - |
dc.contributor.author | Monte Moreno, Enric | - |
dc.contributor.author | Torra Porras, Salvador | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2016-09-14T07:06:07Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2017-08-31T22:01:29Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2016-08 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 1869-4187 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2445/101764 | - |
dc.description.abstract | This study presents an extension of the Gaussian process regression model for multiple-input multiple-output forecasting. This approach allows modelling the cross-dependencies between a given set of input variables and generating a vectorial prediction. Making use of the existing correlations in international tourism demand to all seventeen regions of Spain, the performance of the proposed model is assessed in a multiple-step-ahead forecasting comparison. The results of the experiment in a multivariate setting show that the Gaussian process regression model significantly improves the forecasting accuracy of a multi-layer perceptron neural network used as a benchmark. The results reveal that incorporating the connections between different markets in the modelling process may prove very useful to refine predictions at a regional level. | - |
dc.format.extent | 17 p. | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.language.iso | eng | - |
dc.publisher | Springer Verlag | - |
dc.relation.isformatof | Versió postprint del document publicat a: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13209-016-0144-7 | - |
dc.relation.ispartof | Series-Journal Of The Spanish Economic Association, 2016, vol. 7, num. 3, p. 341-357 | - |
dc.relation.uri | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13209-016-0144-7 | - |
dc.rights | (c) Springer Verlag, 2016 | - |
dc.source | Articles publicats en revistes (Econometria, Estadística i Economia Aplicada) | - |
dc.subject.classification | Turisme | - |
dc.subject.classification | Anàlisi de regressió | - |
dc.subject.classification | Processos gaussians | - |
dc.subject.classification | Xarxes neuronals (Informàtica) | - |
dc.subject.other | Tourism | - |
dc.subject.other | Regression analysis | - |
dc.subject.other | Gaussian processes | - |
dc.subject.other | Neural networks (Computer science) | - |
dc.title | Modelling cross-dependencies between Spain's regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model | - |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | - |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion | - |
dc.identifier.idgrec | 663733 | - |
dc.date.updated | 2016-09-14T07:06:12Z | - |
dc.rights.accessRights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | - |
Appears in Collections: | Articles publicats en revistes (Econometria, Estadística i Economia Aplicada) |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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663733.pdf | 866.14 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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