Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/173805
Title: The date predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain
Author: Ahmar, Ansari Saleh
Boj del Val, Eva
Keywords: COVID-19
Previsió
Estadística mèdica
Estadística matemàtica
COVID-19
Forecasting
Medical statistics
Mathematical statistics
Issue Date: 14-Jun-2020
Publisher: Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia
Abstract: The aim of this study is predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain. Covid-19 Spanish confirmed data obtained from Worldometer from 01 March 2020 - 17 April 2020. The data from 01 March 2020 - 10 April 2020 using to fitting with data from 11 April - 17 April 2020. For the evaluation of the forecasting accuracy measures, we use mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Based on the results of SutteARIMA fitting data, the accuracy of SutteARIMA for the period 11 April 2020 - 17 April 2020 is 0.61% and we forecast 20.000 confirmed cases of Spain by the WHO situation report day 90/91 which is 19 April 2020 / 20 April 2020.
Note: Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.35877/454RI.asci22102
It is part of: Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education, 2020, vol. 2, num. 2, p. 188-193
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/173805
Related resource: https://doi.org/10.35877/454RI.asci22102
ISSN: 2685-0591
Appears in Collections:Articles publicats en revistes (Matemàtica Econòmica, Financera i Actuarial)

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