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Title: | The PREDICT study uncovers three clinical courses of acutely decompensated cirrhosis that have distinct pathophysiology |
Author: | Trebicka, Jonel Fernández, Javier Papp, Maria Caraceni, Paolo Laleman, Wim Gambino, Carmine Giovo, Ilaria Uschner, Frank Erhard Jiménez, César Mookerjee, Rajeshwar P. Gustot, Thierry Albillos, Agustín Bañares, Rafael Janicko, Martin Steib, Christian Reiberger, Thomas Acevedo, Juan Gatti, Pietro Bernal, William Zeuzem, Stefan Zipprich, Alexander Piano, Salvatore Berg, Thomas Bruns, Tony Bendtsen, Flemming Coenraad, Minneke J. Merli, Manuela Stauber, Rudolf Zoller, Heinz Presa Ramos, José Solé Padullés, Cristina Soriano Pastor, Germán de Gottardi, Andrea Gronbaek, Henning Saliba, Faouzi Trautwein, Christian Özdogan, Osman Cavit Francque, Sven Ryder, Stephen Nahon, Pierre Romero-Gomez, Manuel Vlierberghe, Hans Van Francoz, Claire Manns, Michael Garcia, Elisabet Tufoni, Manuel Amorós, Àlex Pavesi, Marco Sanchez, Cristina Curto, Anna Pitarch, Carla Putignano, Antonella Moreno, Esau Shawcross, Debbie Aguilar, Ferran Clària i Enrich, Joan Ponzo, Paola Jansen, Christian Vitalis, Zsuzsanna Zaccherini, Giacomo Balogh, Boglarka Vargas, Víctor Montagnese, Sara Alessandria, Carlo Bernardi, Mauro Ginès i Gibert, Pere Jalan, Rajiv Moreau, Richard Angeli, Paolo Arroyo, Vicente |
Keywords: | Cirrosi hepàtica Hemorràgia gastrointestinal Trasplantament hepàtic Hepatic cirrhosis Gastrointestinal hemorrhage Hepatic transplantation |
Issue Date: | 13-Jul-2020 |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Abstract: | Background & aims: Acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis is defined as the acute development of ascites, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, infection or any combination thereof, requiring hospitalization. The presence of organ failure(s) in patients with AD defines acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The PREDICT study is a European, prospective, observational study, designed to characterize the clinical course of AD and to identify predictors of ACLF. Methods: A total of 1,071 patients with AD were enrolled. We collected detailed pre-specified information on the 3-month period prior to enrollment, and clinical and laboratory data at enrollment. Patients were then closely followed up for 3 months. Outcomes (liver transplantation and death) at 1 year were also recorded. Results: Three groups of patients were identified. Pre-ACLF patients (n = 218) developed ACLF and had 3-month and 1-year mortality rates of 53.7% and 67.4%, respectively. Unstable decompensated cirrhosis (UDC) patients (n = 233) required ≥1 readmission but did not develop ACLF and had mortality rates of 21.0% and 35.6%, respectively. Stable decompensated cirrhosis (SDC) patients (n = 620) were not readmitted, did not develop ACLF and had a 1-year mortality rate of only 9.5%. The 3 groups differed significantly regarding the grade and course of systemic inflammation (high-grade at enrollment with aggravation during follow-up in pre-ACLF; low-grade at enrollment with subsequent steady-course in UDC; and low-grade at enrollment with subsequent improvement in SDC) and the prevalence of surrogates of severe portal hypertension throughout the study (high in UDC vs. low in pre-ACLF and SDC). Conclusions: Acute decompensation without ACLF is a heterogeneous condition with 3 different clinical courses and 2 major pathophysiological mechanisms: systemic inflammation and portal hypertension. Predicting the development of ACLF remains a major future challenge. CLINICALTRIALS. Lay summary: Herein, we describe, for the first time, 3 different clinical courses of acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis after hospital admission. The first clinical course includes patients who develop acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and have a high short-term risk of death - termed pre-ACLF. The second clinical course (unstable decompensated cirrhosis) includes patients requiring frequent hospitalizations unrelated to ACLF and is associated with a lower mortality risk than pre-ACLF. Finally, the third clinical course (stable decompensated cirrhosis), includes two-thirds of all patients admitted to hospital with AD - patients in this group rarely require hospital admission and have a much lower 1-year mortality risk. |
Note: | Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2020.06.013 |
It is part of: | Journal of Hepatology, 2020, vol. 73, num. 4, p. 842-854 |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2445/174861 |
Related resource: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2020.06.013 |
ISSN: | 0168-8278 |
Appears in Collections: | Articles publicats en revistes (IDIBAPS: Institut d'investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer) Articles publicats en revistes (Medicina) |
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