Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/57832
Title: The Economic Costs of Separatist Terrorism in Turkey
Author: Bilgel, Firat
Karahasan, Burhan Can
Keywords: Terrorisme
Violència política
Indicadors econòmics
Anàlisi d'impacte econòmic
Kurdistan (Regió)
Turquia
Terrorism
Political violence
Economic indicators
Economic impact analysis
Turkey
Issue Date: 2013
Publisher: Universitat de Barcelona. Institut de Recerca en Economia Aplicada Regional i Pública
Abstract: Turkey has been suffering from separatist terrorism and the political conflict it implies since the mid 1980s, both of which are believed to have a negative impact on economic welfare. This article investigates the economic costs of PKK -Kurdistan Workers’ Party- terrorism, particularly in the Eastern and Southeastern provinces of Turkey by invoking the synthetic control method. We create a synthetic control group that mimics the socioeconomic characteristics of the provinces exposed to terrorism before the PKK terrorism emerged in the mid-1980s. We then compare the real GDP of the synthetic provinces without terrorism to the actual provinces with terrorism for the period 1975-2001. Causal inference is carried out by comparing the real per capita GDP gap between the synthetic and actual provinces and the intensity of terrorist activity as measured by the number of terrorism casualties. We find that after the emergence of terrorism, the per capita real GDP in Eastern and Southeastern Anatolia declined by about 6.6 percent relative to a comparable synthetic Eastern and Southeastern Anatolia without terrorism.
Note: Reproducció del document publicat a: http://www.ub.edu/irea/working_papers/2013/201322.pdf
It is part of: IREA – Working Papers, 2013, IR13/022
AQR – Working Papers, 2013, AQR13/14
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/57832
ISSN: 2014-1254
Appears in Collections:Documents de treball (Institut de Recerca en Economia Aplicada Regional i Pública (IREA))
AQR (Grup d’Anàlisi Quantitativa Regional) – Working Papers

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