Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/58566
Title: Causality and contagion in peripheral EMU public debt markets: a dynamic approach
Author: Gómez-Puig, Marta
Sosvilla Rivero, Simón, 1961-
Keywords: Unions monetàries
Mercat financer
Liquiditat (Economia)
Crèdit
Crèdit
Monetary unions
Financial market
Liquidity (Economics)
Credit
Issue Date: 2011
Publisher: Universitat de Barcelona. Institut de Recerca en Economia Aplicada Regional i Pública
Abstract: Our research aims to analyze the causal relationships in the behavior of public debt issued by peripheral member countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union -EMU-, with special emphasis on the recent episodes of crisis triggered in the eurozone sovereign debt markets since 2009. With this goal in mind, we make use of a database of daily frequency of yields on 10-year government bonds issued by five EMU countries -Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain-, covering the entire history of the EMU from its inception on 1 January 1999 until 31 December 2010. In the first step, we explore the pair-wise causal relationship between yields, both for the whole sample and for changing subsamples of the data, in order to capture the possible time-varying causal relationship. This approach allows us to detect episodes of contagion between yields on bonds issued by different countries. In the second step, we study the determinants of these contagion episodes, analyzing the role played by different factors, paying special attention to instruments that capture the total national debt -domestic and foreign- in each country.
Note: Reproducció del document publicat a: http://www.ub.edu/irea/working_papers/2011/201116.pdf
It is part of: IREA – Working Papers, 2011, IR11/016
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2445/58566
ISSN: 2014-1254
Appears in Collections:Documents de treball (Institut de Recerca en Economia Aplicada Regional i Pública (IREA))

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