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Title: Ecological fallacy in a time series context: evidence from the Spanish regional unemployment rates
Author: Duque, Juan Carlos
Artís Ortuño, Manuel
Ramos Lobo, Raúl
Keywords: Ecologia urbana
Ecologia teòrica
Indicadors biològics
Gestió del temps
Urban ecology
Agricultural ecology
Indicators (Biology)
Time management
Issue Date: Oct-2006
Publisher: Springer Verlag
Abstract: The ecological fallacy (EF) is a common problem regional scientists have to deal with when using aggregated data in their analyses. Although there is a wide number of studies considering different aspects of this problem, little attention has been paid to the potential negative effects of the EF in a time series context. Using Spanish regional unemployment data, this paper shows that EF effects are not only observed at the cross-section level, but also in a time series framework. The empirical evidence obtained shows that analytical regional configurations are the least susceptible to time effects relative to both normative and random regional configurations, while normative configurations are an improvement over random ones.
Note: Versió postprint del document publicat a:
It is part of: Journal Of Geographical Systems, 2006, vol. 8, num. 4, p. 391-410
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ISSN: 1435-5930
Appears in Collections:Articles publicats en revistes (Econometria, Estadística i Economia Aplicada)

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