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2010

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cc-by (c) Ortego Martínez, María Isabel et al., 2010
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/121832

Bayesian trend analysis for daily rainfall series of Barcelona

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https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-26-71-2010

Abstract

A Point-Over-Threshold approach using a reparameterization of the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) has been used to assess changes in the daily rainfall Barcelona series (1854-2006). A Bayesian approach, considering the suitable scale and physical features of the phenomenon, has been used to look for these alterations. Two different models have been assessed: existence of abrupt changes in the new GPD parameters due to modifications of the observatory locations and trends in these GPD parameters, pointing to a climate change scenario.

Subject

Estadística bayesiana, Precipitacions (Meteorologia), Barcelona (Catalunya)

Subject (English)

Bayesian statistical decision, Precipitations (Meteorology), Barcelona (Catalonia)

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ORTEGO MARTÍNEZ, María Isabel, et al. Bayesian trend analysis for daily rainfall series of Barcelona. Advances in Geosciences. 2010. Vol. 26, num. 71-76. ISSN 1680-7340. [consulted: 19 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/121832

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