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cc-by (c) Boj del Val, Eva et al., 2020
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/172107

Role of Private Long-Term Care Insurance in Financial Sustainability for an Aging Society

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This work analyzes and quantifies the significance of private long-term care insurance for the elderly in protecting families from the increased expenses derived from dependency. We propose an economic and financial model for consumption and income deficit evolution. Survival/dependency are modeled by a Markov process with stochastic simulation techniques to obtain random variable distributions. Based on the Spanish survey of household finances data, Spanish families are classified using a cluster analysis for the wealth decumulation period. The conclusion is that, for a generic family, hiring long-term care insurance causes a significant reduction in the probability of lack of liquidity, the mean first time of lack of liquidity (if it occurs), and the mean present value of overall liquidity needs. It is also observed that there are important di erences between these impacts on different groups of families. These results show that hiring long-term care insurance would considerably lower financial problems in the decumulation period.

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BOJ DEL VAL, Eva, CLARAMUNT BIELSA, M. Mercè and VAREA, Javier. Role of Private Long-Term Care Insurance in Financial Sustainability for an Aging Society. Sustainability. 2020. Vol. 12, num. 21, pags. 8894. ISSN 2071-1050. [consulted: 7 of October of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/172107

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