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Master thesis

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cc-by-nc-nd (c) Biering, 2024
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/220308

Ripple effects of economic crisis. The influence of economic cycles on political selection in spanish municipalities

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How do economic cycles, especially recessions, affect the competence of politicians as measured by their education? This study examines the causal effect of unemployment shocks during the Great Recession of 2007/2008 on the selection of local politicians in Spanish municipalities. Despite extensive research on what forces determine political selection and the competence of politicians, the impact of economic downturns on the quality of politicians, as measured by unemployment, has been thoroughly overlooked. Yet it is important to understand whether crises produce competent leaders who are able to steer society through troubled waters. Using high-quality data from the Spanish Ministry of Labor and Social Economy and the Ministry of Finance, this study analyzes the causal relationship between economic cycles, as measured by unemployment, and the educational level of local politicians. I find that only severe cases of economic downturns have a negative impact on the educational level of politicians.

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Treballs Finals del Màster en Institucions i Economia Política. Facultat d'Economia i Empresa. Universitat de Barcelona. Curs 2023-2024. Tutor: Andreu Arenas

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BIERING, Gabriel. Ripple effects of economic crisis. The influence of economic cycles on political selection    in spanish municipalities. [consulted: 7 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/220308

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