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Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector

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Recent studies have indicated the importance of fall climate forcings and teleconnections in influencing the climate of the northern mid-to-high latitudes. Here, we present some exploratory analyses using observational data and seasonal hindcasts, with the aim of highlighting the potential of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) as a driver of climate variability during boreal late fall/early winter (November/December) in the North Atlantic-European sector and motivating further research on this relatively unexplored topic. The atmospheric ENSO teleconnection in November/December is reminiscent of the East Atlantic pattern and distinct from the well-known arching extratropical Rossby wavetrain found from January to March. Temperature and precipitation over Europe in November are positively correlated with the Niño3.4 index, which suggests a potentially important ENSO climate impact during late fall. In particular, the ENSO-related temperature anomaly extends over a much larger area than during the subsequent winter month

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KING, Martin P., et al. Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2018. Vol. 99, num. 7, pags. 1337-1343. ISSN 0003-0007. [consulted: 4 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/124852

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