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cc-by (c) Arasa Agudo, Raúl et al., 2012
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/48693

Evaluating the Performance of a Regional-Scale Photochemical Modelling System: Part I Ozone Predictions

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We present a detailed evaluation of the seasonal performance of the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modelling system and the PSU/NCAR meteorological model coupled to a new Numerical Emission Model for Air Quality (MNEQA). The combined system simulates air quality at a fine resolution (3 km as horizontal resolution and 1 h as temporal resolution) in north-eastern Spain, where problems of ozone pollution are frequent. An extensive database compiled over two periods, from May to September 2009 and 2010, is used to evaluate meteorological simulations and chemical outputs. Our results indicate that the model accurately reproduces hourly and 1-h and 8-h maximum ozone surface concentrations measured at the air quality stations, as statistical values fall within the EPA and EU recommendations. However, to further improve forecast accuracy, three simple bias-adjustment techniques mean subtraction (MS), ratio adjustment (RA), and hybrid forecast (HF) based on 10 days of available comparisons are applied. The results show that the MS technique performed better than RA or HF, although all the bias-adjustment techniques significantly reduce the systematic errors in ozone forecasts.

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ARASA AGUDO, Raúl, SOLER I DUFFOUR, M. Rosa and OLID GARCÍA, Miriam. Evaluating the Performance of a Regional-Scale Photochemical Modelling System: Part I Ozone Predictions. ISRN Meteorology. 2012. Vol. 2012, num. 1-22. ISSN 2090-7516. [consulted: 17 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/48693

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