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Population structure and spatio-temporal modelling of biological attributes and population dynamic of nylon shrimp (Heterocarpus reedi) off central Chile (25°-36°S) = Estructura poblacional y modelamiento espacio-temporal de los atributos biológicos y la dinámica poblacional del camarón nailon Heterocarpus reedi (Decapoda, Caridea) frente a Chile central (25°-36°S)

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[eng] The population structure of fishery resources and the impact of environmental factors over its productivity are important processes to be considered in fisheries management. Environmental factors could determine both, the success of larval drift as the population spatial structure and its changes of biomass. Considering this, two key elements in the adequate, sustained exploitation of any fishery should be considered; the biological attributes of the species and how these vary over time and space. Research is needed to obtain a more thorough understanding of these effects, how they vary, and how they relate to environmental factors. However, spatial processes rarely constitute an explicit consideration in the evaluation and management of marine invertebrate populations, but this is particularly important in processes in which larval drift acts as one of the main mechanisms of population expansion. The ecological concept metapopulation is widely used and accepted for understanding low-mobility marine populations, and its implications for fishery management purposes should be considered. In this work we show the environmental effect over distribution, abundance and spatial structure of nylon shrimp population (Heterocarpus reedi) off central Chile (25°-37°S) from trawling surveys carried out between 1996 and 2011. Environmental variables considered where sea surface concentration of chlorophyll-a and dissolved organic matter. Results show a geographical separation in population around 32°S. Shrimp density is higher in the southern zone, where concentration of chlorophyll-a and dissolved organic matter are high due to presence of river tributaries and coastal upwelling zones. In this area, the bulk of the adult population is concentrated, which could act as "source" population and thereby its influence on larval drift could explain both, the preponderance of juveniles in the northern area as the smallest size of its population (“pseudo-sink” population). In the southern area, a process of spatial and bathymetric expansion had driven the increase in population size over time, where the colonization and individual somatic growth had been the main mechanisms. We found that periods of good environmental conditions explain high densities of shrimp with a delay of two years, which might be related mainly with larval survival and enhanced recruitment and somatic growth. In order to do a cross check of this proposal, and based on a complementary information source, 17 years of biological data collected from nylon shrimp fishery off central Chile were analyzed. We analyze these data using generalized linear models and determine the factors responsible for changes in carapace length, body weight, maturity, and sex ratio. better physical conditions and reproductive attributes of H. reedi south of 32°S would be related with the best environmental and food conditions at this zone. For example, individuals are larger, females are longer at first maturity (CL50%), and mature females are less prevalent. We outline a theoretical foundation that can guide future research on H. reedi. We also suggest that future conservation measures consider biological attributes within a spatial context. Finally, in order to contrast different hypotheses of population structure and spatial connectivity proposed along this work, we proposed a length-based population model and analyzed the biologic and fishery information available since 1945 under three hypotheses, based on the connectivity rate of two subpopulations located to the north and south of 32°S. The results show that, statistically, several hypotheses can be used to explain the data. The most likely hypothesis is that of a metapopulation in which the south zone acts as a source population (reproductive refuge) and determines, partially or totally, the arrival of recruits in the north zone, thereby explaining the population increase over the last decade. According to our study, empirical evidence will strengthen the hypothesis of spatial connectivity and, given the implications for managing the fishery of this resource, special attention should be paid to the biological-fishery conditions recorded south of 32°S, caution in its exploitation levels and consider this zone as reproductive refuge of nylon shrimp.

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CANALES, Cristian m.. Population structure and spatio-temporal modelling of biological attributes and population dynamic of nylon shrimp (Heterocarpus reedi) off central Chile (25°-36°S) = Estructura poblacional y modelamiento espacio-temporal de los atributos biológicos y la dinámica poblacional del camarón nailon Heterocarpus reedi (Decapoda, Caridea) frente a Chile central (25°-36°S). [consulta: 29 de novembre de 2025]. [Disponible a: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/107216]

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