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Si us plau utilitzeu sempre aquest identificador per citar o enllaçar aquest document: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/121732
Revisiting real exchange rate volatility: Non-traded goods and cointegrated tfp Chockse [WP]
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International real business cycle (IRBC) models predict a real exchange rate volatility that is much lower than the levels observed in the data. In this paper, we build a two-country IRBC model with both a traded and a non-traded goods sector, and calibrate it to UK-euro area (EA) data. We provide evidence on the existence of a cointegrating relationship between UK and EA traded sector total factor productivity (TFP) by estimating a vector error correction model (VECM). To account for this relationship, we incorporate non-stationary technology shocks in the traded sectors in our model, and show that then the model is able to match the observed volatility of the UK-EA real exchange rate. Our analysis points out that both the presence of non-traded sectors and non-stationary technology shocks are necessary to account for the observed volatility in the real exchange rate.
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DOGAN, Aydan and BETTENDORF, Timo. Revisiting real exchange rate volatility: Non-traded goods and cointegrated tfp Chockse [WP]. UB Economics – Working Papers. 2018. Vol. E18/375. ISSN 1136-8365. [consulted: 5 of November of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/121732