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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/221596
Coattail effects and turnout: Evidence from a quasi-experiment.
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All over the world, a very large number of elections take place concurrently with other elections for representatives in different government tiers. A crucial question for understanding electoral outcomes in those elections is the existence of
electoral spillovers or coattail effects. Causal identification of coattail effects is challenging because popularity shocks typically affect parties in both concurrent elections. This paper exploits a quasi-experiment—the ban of a party in only one
of the concurrent elections—to estimate coattail effects. The results show that a 1 pp decline in electoral support for a party in a given election reduces its support in the concurrent election by 0.25 pp. This comes along with a decline in turnout of the same size in both elections
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ARENAS JAL, Andreu. Coattail effects and turnout: Evidence from a quasi-experiment. . Research & Politics. 2024. Vol. 11, num. 1, pags. 1-9. ISSN 2053-1680. [consulted: 14 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/221596