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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/64944

Ecological fallacy in a time series context: evidence from the Spanish regional unemployment rates

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Abstract

The ecological fallacy (EF) is a common problem regional scientists have to deal with when using aggregated data in their analyses. Although there is a wide number of studies considering different aspects of this problem, little attention has been paid to the potential negative effects of the EF in a time series context. Using Spanish regional unemployment data, this paper shows that EF effects are not only observed at the cross-section level, but also in a time series framework. The empirical evidence obtained shows that analytical regional configurations are the least susceptible to time effects relative to both normative and random regional configurations, while normative configurations are an improvement over random ones.

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DUQUE, Juan Carlos, ARTÍS ORTUÑO, Manuel and RAMOS LOBO, Raúl. Ecological fallacy in a time series context: evidence from the Spanish regional unemployment rates. Journal Of Geographical Systems. 2006. Vol. 8, num. 4, pags. 391-410. ISSN 1435-5930. [consulted: 11 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/64944

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