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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/127757

Trends in the quantiles of the life-table survivorship function

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Abstract

We offer a new approach for modeling past trends in the quantiles of the life table survivorship function. Trends in the quantiles are estimated, and the extent to which the observed patterns fit the unit root hypothesis or, alternatively, an innovative outlier model, are conducted. Then a factor model is applied to the detrended data, and it is used to construct quantile cycles. We enrich the ongoing discussion about human longevity extension by calculating specific improvements in the distribution of the survivorship function, across its full range, and not only at the central-age ranges. To illustrate our proposal, we use data for the UK from 1922 to 2013. We find that there is no sign in the data of any reduction in the pace of longevity extension during the last decades.

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CHULIÁ SOLER, Helena, GUILLÉN, Montserrat and URIBE GIL, Jorge Mario. Trends in the quantiles of the life-table survivorship function. European Journal of Population. 2018. Vol. 34, num. 5, pags. 793-817. ISSN 0168-6577. [consulted: 12 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/127757

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