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cc-by-nc-nd, (c) González-Val et al., 2015
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/115503

Regional unemployment, marriage, and divorce

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In this paper, we examine whether the business cycle plays a role in marriage and divorce. We use data on Spain, since the differences between recession and expansion periods across regions are quite pronounced in that country. We find that the unemployment rate is negatively associated with the marriage rate, pointing to a pro-cyclical evolution of marriage; however the response of the divorce rate to the business cycle is mixed. Results show the existence of different patterns, depending on geography: divorce rates in coastal regions are procyclical, while in inland regions divorces react to unemployment in a counter-cyclical way. Other factors, such as changes in divorce law and duration of the marriage also have a significant effect on divorce rates.

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GONZÁLEZ-VAL, Rafael and MARCÉN, Miriam. Regional unemployment, marriage, and divorce. IEB Working Paper 2015/38. [consulted: 12 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/115503

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