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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/116996
Do re-election probabilities influence public investment?
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Abstract
We identify exogenous variation in incumbent policymakers’ re-election probabilities and explore empirically how this variation affects their investments in physical capital. Our results indicate that a higher re-election probability leads to higher investments, particularly in the purposes preferred more strongly by the incumbents. This aligns with a theoretical framework where political parties disagree about which públic goods to produce using labor and predetermined public capital.
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FIVA, Jon H. and NATVIK, Gisle James. Do re-election probabilities influence public investment?. IEB Working Paper 2009/36. [consulted: 15 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/116996