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(c) Vertier, Paul et al., 2023
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/192744

Dismantling the 'Jungle': Migrant Relocation and Extreme Voting in France

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Large migrant inflows have spurred anti-immigrant sentiment, but can small inflows have a different impact? We exploit the redistribution of migrants after the dismantling of the 'Calais Jungle' in France to study the impact of the exposure to few migrants, which we estimate using difference-in-differences and instrumental variables. We find that in the presence of a migrant center (CAO), the growth rate of vote shares for the main far-right party (Front National (FN), our proxy for anti-immigrant sentiment) between 2012 and 2017 is reduced by about 12 percentage points. This effect, which crucially depends on the inflow's size, points towards the contact hypothesis (Allport 1954).

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VERTIER, Paul, VISKANIC, Max and GAMALERIO, Matteo. Dismantling the 'Jungle': Migrant Relocation and Extreme Voting in France. Political Science Research and Methods. 2023. Vol. 11, num. 1, pags. 129-143. ISSN 2049-8470. [consulted: 11 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/192744

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