Miniatura

Fitxers

journal.pntd.0006797.pdf (2.8 MB)

Tipus de document

Article

Versió

Versió publicada

Data de publicació

2018-09-17

Llicència de publicació

cc by (c) Gomez et al., 2018
Si us plau utilitzeu sempre aquest identificador per citar o enllaçar aquest document: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/128527

Estimating the efficacy of community-wide use of systemic insecticides in dogs to control zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis: A modelling study in a Brazilian scenario

Títol de la revista

Autors

Director/Tutor

ISSN de la revista

Títol del volum

Recurs relacionat

http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006797

Resum

Systemic insecticides in dogs have been suggested as a public health intervention to prevent human cases of Zoonotic Visceral Leishmaniasis (ZVL). But, currently there are no systemic insecticides for dogs registered against zoo-anthropophilic pool blood feeding phlebotomine flies. We predict the impact of community-wide use of systemic insecticide in dog populations as a public health measure to control transmission of Leishmania infantum to humans using a mathematical model. We developed a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected (SEI) compartmental model to describe L. infantum transmission dynamics in dogs, with a vectorial capacity term to represent transmission between L. infantum-hosting dogs via phlebotomine flies. For Infected (I) dogs two levels of infectiousness were modelled, high infectiousness and low infectiousness. Human incidence was estimated through its relationship to infection in the dog population. We evaluated outcomes from a wide range of scenarios comprising different combinations of initial insecticide efficacy, duration of insecticide efficacy over time, and proportion of the dog population treated (60%, 70% & 80%). The same reduction in human infection incidence can be achieved via different combinations of insecticide efficacy, duration and dog coverage. For example, a systemic insecticide with an initial efficacy of 80% and 6 months above 65% efficacy would require treating at least 70% of the dogs to reduce the human infection incidence by 50%. Sensitivity analysis showed that the model outcome was most sensitive to baseline values of phlebotomine fly daily survival rate and insecticide coverage. Community-wide use of systemic insecticides applied to the "L. infantum canine reservoir" can significantly reduce human incidence of L. infantum infection. The results of this mathematical model can help defining the insecticide target product profile and how the insecticide should be applied to maximise effectiveness.

Matèries

Leishmania infantum, Gossos, Brasil

Matèries (anglès)

Dogs, Brazil

Citació

Col·leccions

Articles publicats en revistes (ISGlobal)

Citació

GOMEZ, Sonia a., CHAPMAN, Lloyd a. c., DILGER, Erin, COURTENAY, Orin, PICADO DE PUIG, Albert. Estimating the efficacy of community-wide use of systemic
                insecticides in dogs to control zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis:
                A modelling study in a Brazilian scenario. _PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases_. 2018. Vol. 12, núm. 9, pàgs. e0006797. [consulta: 23 de gener de 2026]. ISSN: 1935-2735. [Disponible a: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/128527]

Exportar metadades

JSON - METS

Compartir registre