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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/217139
Modeling the U.S. Firearms Market: The Effects of Civilian Stocks, Legislation, and Crime
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We estimate the first econometric model of the national civilian firearms market in the United States (1946–2016), where per capita firearms-related harm is exceptionally high. Solving simultaneous equation models instrumented by natural disasters and steel prices, and employing unique firearms prices and quantities data, we find this market operates normally, except that firearms stocks may generate some new market demand in a positive feedback loop. Save for the Federal Assault Weapons Ban (1994–2004), federal firearms legislation does not influence firearms sales. We find that violent crime, including homicide and mass shootings, boosts domestic sales.
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MCDOUGALL, Topher L., MONTOLIO, Daniel and BRAUER, Jürgen. Modeling the U.S. Firearms Market: The Effects of Civilian Stocks, Legislation, and Crime. International Social Science Journal. 2023. Vol. 73, num. 248, pags. 279-323. ISSN 0020-8701. [consulted: 17 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/217139