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cc-by-nc-nd, (c) Caruso et al., 2011
Si us plau utilitzeu sempre aquest identificador per citar o enllaçar aquest document: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/116572

The probability of military rule in Africa, 1970-2007

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In this paper we empirically analyze the socio-economic determinants of the existence of military dictatorships in Africa. A recent literature in political economy analyses the relationship between the civil undemocratic government and the military as an agency problem: the civilian government needs the army to avoid internal violence, but a larger army reduces the opportunity-cost for the military to run a coup d’état and seize power. These papers derive three main causes of military rule: income inequality, ethnic fractionalization, and external threat. We empirically analyze these issues by estimating the probability that a country experiences a military rule. We consider 48 African countries over the period 1970-2007.

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CARUSO, Raul, COSTA, Jacopo, RICCIUTI, Roberto. The probability of military rule in Africa, 1970-2007. _IEB Working Paper 2011/26_. [consulta: 23 de gener de 2026]. [Disponible a: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/116572]

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