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cc-by-nc-nd, (c) Daniele et al., 2016
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/112828

Mafia, elections and violence against politicians

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Organized crime uses political violence to influence politics in a wide set of countries. This paper exploits a novel dataset of attacks directed towards Italian local politicians to study how (and why) criminal organizations use violence against them. We test two competing theories to predict the use of violence i) before elections, to affect the electoral outcome and ii) after elections, to influence politicians from the beginning of their term. We provide causal evidence in favor of the latter hypothesis. The probability of being a target of violence increases in the weeks right after an election in areas with a high presence of organized crime, especially when elections result in a change of local government.

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DANIELE, Gianmarco and DIPOPPA, Gemma. Mafia, elections and violence against politicians. IEB Working Paper 2016/29. [consulted: 12 of October of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/112828

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