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Si us plau utilitzeu sempre aquest identificador per citar o enllaçar aquest document: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/58924
Forward Looking Banking Stress in EMU Countries
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Based on contingent claims analysis, CCA, this paper tries to estimate the systemic risk build-up in the European Economic and Monetary Union, EMU countries using a market based measure distance-to-default, DtD. It analyzes the individual and aggregated series for a comprehensive set of banks in each eurozone country over the period 2004-Q4 to 2013-Q2. Given the structural differences in financial sector and banking regulations at national level, the indices provide a useful indicator for monitoring country specific banking vulnerability and stress. We find that average DtD indicators are intuitive, forward-looking and timely risk indicators. The underlying trend, fluctuations and correlations among indices help us analyze the interdependence while cross-sectional differences in DtD prior to crisis suggest banking sector fragility in peripheral EMU countries.
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GÓMEZ-PUIG, Marta, SOSVILLA RIVERO, Simón, SINGH, Manish kumar. Forward Looking Banking Stress in EMU Countries. _IREA – Working Papers_. 2014. Vol. IR14/21. [consulta: 23 de gener de 2026]. ISSN: 2014-1254. [Disponible a: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/58924]