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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/127321
Overlapping political budget cycle
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We advance the literature on political budget cycles by testing for cycles in expenditures for elections to the legislative and the executive branches. Using municipal data, we identify cycles independently for the two branches, evaluate the effects of overlaps, and account for general year effects. We find sizable effects on expenditures before legislative elections and even larger effects before joint elections to the legislature and the office of mayor. In the case of coincident elections, we show that it is important whether the incumbent chief executive seeks reelection. To account for the potential endogeneity of that decision, we apply an IV approach using age and pension eligibility rules.
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FOREMNY, Dirk, et al. Overlapping political budget cycle. Public Choice. 2018. Vol. 177, num. 1-2, pags. 1-27. ISSN 0048-5829. [consulted: 15 of June of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/127321