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The complex relationship of exposure to new Plasmodium infections and incidence of clinical malaria in Papua New Guinea
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Abstract
The molecular force of blood-stage infection (molFOB) is a
quantitative surrogate metric for malaria transmission at
population level and for exposure at individual level.
Relationships between molFOB, parasite prevalence and clinical
incidence were assessed in a treatment-to-reinfection cohort,
where P.vivax (Pv) hypnozoites were eliminated in half the
children by primaquine (PQ). Discounting relapses, children
acquired equal numbers of new P. falciparum (Pf) and Pv
blood-stage infections/year (Pf-molFOB = 0-18, Pv-molFOB = 0-23)
resulting in comparable spatial and temporal patterns in
incidence and prevalence of infections. Including relapses,
Pv-molFOB increased >3 fold (relative to PQ-treated children)
showing greater heterogeneity at individual (Pv-molFOB = 0-36)
and village levels. Pf- and Pv-molFOB were strongly associated
with clinical episode risk. Yearly Pf clinical incidence rate
(IR = 0.28) was higher than for Pv (IR = 0.12) despite lower
Pf-molFOB. These relationships between molFOB, clinical
incidence and parasite prevalence reveal a comparable decline in
Pf and Pv transmission that is normally hidden by the high
burden of Pv relapses. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION:
ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02143934.
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HOFMANN, Natalie E., et al. The complex relationship of exposure to new Plasmodium
infections and incidence of clinical malaria in Papua New Guinea. ELife. 2017. Vol. 6, pags. e23708. ISSN 2050-084X. [consulted: 8 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/115969