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cc by (c) Hofmann et al., 2017
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/115969

The complex relationship of exposure to new Plasmodium infections and incidence of clinical malaria in Papua New Guinea

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The molecular force of blood-stage infection (molFOB) is a quantitative surrogate metric for malaria transmission at population level and for exposure at individual level. Relationships between molFOB, parasite prevalence and clinical incidence were assessed in a treatment-to-reinfection cohort, where P.vivax (Pv) hypnozoites were eliminated in half the children by primaquine (PQ). Discounting relapses, children acquired equal numbers of new P. falciparum (Pf) and Pv blood-stage infections/year (Pf-molFOB = 0-18, Pv-molFOB = 0-23) resulting in comparable spatial and temporal patterns in incidence and prevalence of infections. Including relapses, Pv-molFOB increased >3 fold (relative to PQ-treated children) showing greater heterogeneity at individual (Pv-molFOB = 0-36) and village levels. Pf- and Pv-molFOB were strongly associated with clinical episode risk. Yearly Pf clinical incidence rate (IR = 0.28) was higher than for Pv (IR = 0.12) despite lower Pf-molFOB. These relationships between molFOB, clinical incidence and parasite prevalence reveal a comparable decline in Pf and Pv transmission that is normally hidden by the high burden of Pv relapses. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02143934.

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HOFMANN, Natalie E., et al. The complex relationship of exposure to new Plasmodium
                infections and incidence of clinical malaria in Papua New Guinea. ELife. 2017. Vol. 6, pags. e23708. ISSN 2050-084X. [consulted: 8 of August of 2026]. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/115969

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