Quantification of Survey Expectations by Means of Symbolic Regression via Genetic Programming to Estimate Economic Growth in Central and Eastern European Economies

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dc.contributor.authorClavería González, Óscar
dc.contributor.authorMonte Moreno, Enric
dc.contributor.authorTorra Porras, Salvador
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-06T08:17:15Z
dc.date.available2017-10-01T22:01:26Z
dc.date.issued2016-03
dc.date.updated2016-04-06T08:17:21Z
dc.description.abstractTendency surveys are the main source of agents' expectations. The main aim of this study is twofold. First, we propose a new method to quantify survey-based expectations by means of symbolic regression (SR) via genetic programming. Second, we combine the main SR-generated indicators to estimate the evolution of GDP, obtaining the best results for the Czech Republic and Hungary. Finally, we assess the impact of the 2008 financial crisis, finding an improvement in the capacity of agents' expectations in most Central and Eastern European economies to anticipate economic growth after the crisis.
dc.format.extent19 p.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.idgrec658787
dc.identifier.issn0012-8775
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2445/97002
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherTaylor and Francis
dc.relation.isformatofVersió postprint del document publicat a: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00128775.2015.1136564
dc.relation.ispartofEastern European Economics, 2016, vol. 54, num. 2, p. 171-189
dc.relation.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00128775.2015.1136564
dc.rights(c) Taylor and Francis, 2016
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourceArticles publicats en revistes (Econometria, Estadística i Economia Aplicada)
dc.subject.classificationAlgorismes
dc.subject.classificationAlgorismes genètics
dc.subject.classificationIndicadors econòmics
dc.subject.classificationEnquestes
dc.subject.classificationAnàlisi de regressió
dc.subject.otherAlgorithms
dc.subject.otherGenetic algorithms
dc.subject.otherEconomic indicators
dc.subject.otherSurveys
dc.subject.otherRegression analysis
dc.titleQuantification of Survey Expectations by Means of Symbolic Regression via Genetic Programming to Estimate Economic Growth in Central and Eastern European Economies
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion

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