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2020-07-25

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cc-by (c) Solé Olle et. al.,, 2020
Si us plau utilitzeu sempre aquest identificador per citar o enllaçar aquest document: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/174506

Modelling the Renewable Transition: scenarios and pathways for a decarbonised future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model

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Recurs relacionat

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110105

Resum

This paper reviews different approaches to modelling the energy transition towards a zero carbon economy. It identifies a number of limitations in current approaches such as a lack of consideration of out-of-equilibrium situations (like an energy transition) and non-linear feedbacks. To tackle those issues, the new open source integrated assessment model pymedeas is introduced, which allows the exploration of the design and planning of appropriate strategies and policies for decarbonizing the energy sector at World and EU level. The main novelty of the new open-source model is that it addresses the energy transition by considering biophysical limits, availability of raw materials, and climate change impacts. This paper showcases the model capabilities through several simulation experiments to explore alternative pathways for the renewable transition. In the selected scenarios of this work, future shortage of fossil fuels is found to be the most influential factor of the simulations system evolution. Changes in efficiency and climate change damages are also important determinants influencing model outcomes.

Matèries

Indústries energètiques, Primeres matèries, Canvi climàtic, Combustibles fòssils

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Energy industries, Raw materials, Climatic change, Fossil fuels

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Articles publicats en revistes (Dinàmica de la Terra i l'Oceà)

Citació

SOLÉ OLLÉ, Jordi, SAMSÓ, Roger, GARCÍA LADONA, E., GARCÍA OLIVARES, Antonio, BALLABRERA POY, Joaquim, MADURELL, T., TURIEL, A., OSYCHENKO, O., ÁLVAREZ, D., BARDI, Ugo, BAUMANN, Martin, BUCHMANN, K., CAPELLÁN PÉREZ, Í, CERNY, M., CARPINTERO, Ó., DE BLAS, I., DE CASTRO, C., DE LATHOUWER, J. d., DUCE, C., EGGLER, Lukas, ENRÍQUEZ, J.m., FALSINI, S., FENG, K., FERRERAS, N., FRECHOSO, F., HUBACEK, K., JONES, Aled, KACLÍKOVÁ, R., KERSHNER, C., KIMMICH, C., LOBEJÓN, L.f., LOMAS, P.l., MARTELLONI, Gianluca, MEDIAVILLA, M., MIGUEL, L.j., NATALINI, Davide, NIETO, J., NIKOLAEV, Angel, PARRADO, G., PAPAGIANNI, S.. Modelling the Renewable Transition: scenarios and pathways for a decarbonised future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model. _Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews_. 2020. Vol. 132, núm. 110105. [consulta: 24 de gener de 2026]. ISSN: 1364-0321. [Disponible a: https://hdl.handle.net/2445/174506]

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